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Sunday, June 21, 2026

Newspaper Summary 220626

 The following is a reproduction of the Mint Primer article titled "What Telegram ruling means for digital platforms", written by Krishna Yadav and Yash Tiwari:

The Delhi High Court’s ruling upholding the Centre’s temporary ban on Telegram has put India’s digital platform regulation framework under the spotlight. Experts say the ruling raises concerns about the scope of executive powers.

Why did the Centre ban Telegram?

On 17 June, the central government blocked Telegram until 22 June following recommendations from the National Testing Agency (NTA) and the department of higher education ahead of the NEET-UG re-examination on 21 June. The government alleged that organized networks were using the instant messaging platform to circulate purported examination papers and facilitate cheating. Telegram challenged the order, arguing that misuse by a small group of users could not justify blocking a digital platform used by over 150 million people in the country.

Why did the high court uphold the ban?

In a 19 June order, the Delhi HC’s justice Tejas Karia dismissed Telegram’s challenge. The court held that the Centre had sufficient material to justify the blocking order and declined to interfere with the exercise of powers under Section 69A of the IT Act, 2000. A key observation was that Section 69A empowers the government to block an entire platform and not merely specific content, channels or accounts. The court held that software applications such as Telegram fall within the definition of “information” under the IT Act, enabling authorities to block access to the platform when statutory requirements are met.

What does the ruling mean for platforms?

Experts argue the order raises many questions. The Internet Freedom Foundation said the ruling sets a concerning precedent for the open internet as “blocking an entire platform affects the speech and access to information of millions of users”. However, Tushar Agarwal, founder and managing partner at C.L.A.P. Juris, a law firm, said the ruling should not be read as a blanket endorsement of internet shutdowns or platform-wide bans because every future action will still have to withstand constitutional scrutiny.

What should platforms do now?

Experts said social media and messaging platforms should see the ruling as a signal to strengthen compliance and moderation frameworks rather than as a threat. According to Agarwal, platforms should improve transparency, maintain robust grievance-redressal mechanisms and respond swiftly to unlawful content requests. Companies that act quickly against illegal activity are less likely to face coercive regulatory action. YouTube declined to comment, while Meta didn’t respond.

What is the scope of Section 69A?

It allows the Centre to block online content, apps or platforms on grounds such as national security, public order, sovereignty and integrity of India, or to prevent unlawful activities. According to information shared in Parliament in March, the government has blocked 652 mobile apps under Section 69A, citing data security and other concerns.


The following is a reproduction of the article titled "Govt preps ₹7,100 cr chip sops to fuel investments" (also headlined as "Govt plans ₹7,000 cr sops to fire up chip ecosystem" in the body) from the June 22, 2026, edition of Mint Bengaluru:

Incentives aim to attract ₹15,000 crore in fresh investment, generate 4,700 jobs

By Dhirendra Kumar NEW DELHI

India is stepping up its bid to build a semiconductor supply chain, with plans afoot to disburse ₹7,100 crore in incentives this fiscal year with new project targets spanning chip fabrication, manufacturing and design, said two government officials in the know. The government expects the move to attract about ₹15,000 crore in fresh investment and generate around 4,700 jobs.

For FY27, the department of expenditure (DoE) has tasked the ministry of electronics and information technology (MeitY) with supporting one semiconductor fabrication unit, nine manufacturing facilities and 30 design firms under the Modified Programme for Development of Semiconductor and Display Manufacturing Ecosystem in India, said the officials.

Allocation Breakdown

  • Chip Fab Unit: Will receive ₹2,000 crore in fiscal support and is expected to attract ₹4,000 crore in investments while generating 1,500 jobs.
  • Manufacturing Units: Nine units under the scheme for compound semiconductors, silicon photonics, sensors, and discrete semiconductor fabs/ATMP/Osat facilities will get ₹5,000 crore. They are expected to attract around ₹11,000 crore in investments and generate 3,000 jobs.
  • Design Firms: Under the Design Linked Incentive (DLI) scheme, MeitY will support 30 semiconductor design companies with ₹100 crore to develop 10 semiconductor intellectual property (IP) cores and employ 200 design professionals.

“The DoE has allocated ₹7,100 crore for incentive disbursal in FY27 under the programme, with the clear objective of strengthening domestic semiconductor manufacturing and design capabilities,” said one of the officials. The targeted incentive disbursal in the previous fiscal year was approximately ₹4,000 crore.

The India Semiconductor Mission

India launched a ₹76,000-crore semiconductor mission in December 2021 to develop a domestic ecosystem and reduce import dependence. Approved projects so far include:

  • Tata Electronics' fab unit in Dholera, Gujarat (in partnership with Taiwan's PSMC).
  • Micron Technology's ATMP facility in Sanand, Gujarat.
  • CG Semi's Osat unit in Sanand.
  • Tata Electronics' assembly and test unit in Jagiroad, Assam.
  • Two additional projects approved in May: an integrated compound semiconductor fab/ATMP facility by Crystal Matrix and an Osat facility by Suchi Semicon Pvt. Ltd..

Expert Perspectives

Ajai Chowdhry, founder of HCL, noted that the direction is promising, highlighting that "India's strength lies in chip design" due to a large pool of VLSI talent. R.K. Bhatnagar, a former advisor to the department of telecommunications, stated the objective is to "develop indigenous capabilities" and strengthen India's position in the global value chain.

Saurabh Agarwal, tax partner at EY India, added that combining robust fiscal incentives with ecosystem development helps India "effectively mitigate geopolitical risks" and positions the country as a stable partner in the global supply chain.


The following is a reproduction of the article titled "Russian crude makes up half of India’s oil imports in June", written by Rituraj Baruah, from the June 22, 2026, edition of Mint Bengaluru:

Rising crude imports from Russia reinforce Moscow’s position as India’s largest oil supplier

By Rituraj Baruah NEW DELHI

India’s imports of Russian crude are averaging 2.66 million barrels per day (mbpd) in June, up nearly 40% from May, lifting Moscow’s share of the country’s oil purchases to about 50% as refiners continued to favour discounted barrels amid disruptions in West Asia.

Russian crude arrivals averaged 1.91 mbpd in May and more than doubled from 1.04 mbpd in February, when shipments were disrupted by US sanctions, according to data from trade intelligence firm Kpler. The increase has cemented Russia’s position as India’s largest crude supplier, even as concerns over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have pushed buyers to diversify sources and routes.

“India’s imports remained strong through June, supported by continued discounts and steady refinery demand. Russian barrels remain competitive against global benchmarks,” said Sumit Ritolia, senior manager for modelling at Kpler. “Regardless of whether the US waiver is extended, we expect India's imports of Russian crude to remain robust, even if not at record-high levels”.

Market Dynamics and Sanctions

Russian crude is currently sold at a $4-5 per barrel discount compared to Brent. Amid a supply crunch during the Iran war, the US waived sanctions on Russian oil to help vulnerable economies cope with the energy crisis; however, this waiver ended on 17 June, adding uncertainty to near-term trade flows.

West Asia typically accounts for 60-70% of India's crude oil imports. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has been India's second-largest supplier so far in June, exporting about 636,000 barrels per day, with most shipments moving through ADNOC's Habshan-Fujairah pipeline to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi Arabia ranks third at 384,000 bpd.

Future Outlook

Ritolia noted that Gulf producers are likely to maintain maximum flexibility in their export systems using bypass routes due to lingering security concerns. Market participants are also monitoring high-level US-Iran talks scheduled to begin Sunday, as any breakthrough could influence shipping routes and trade flows.

Prashant Vashisht, senior vice-president at Icra Ltd, stated that Russian crude is likely to remain an important part of India's import basket. “As the global demand is much higher than the supplies currently, Russian supplies would continue to flow and India will continue to buy from Russia,” Vashisht said. He added that while a realignment of supplies could occur if sanctions on Iran are waived and fresh sanctions are imposed on Russia, such a scenario depends heavily on the outcome of peace talks.

Moscow became India’s top oil supplier after the Russia-Ukraine war in 2022 triggered Western sanctions on Russian energy.


The following is a reproduction of the article titled "Three Indian tankers re-emerge, pointing to Hormuz traffic uptick", as found in the June 22, 2026, edition of Mint Bengaluru:

The supertankers carry between them nearly 6 million barrels of Iraqi and Kuwaiti oil.

By Bloomberg

Three fully laden India-linked supertankers have re-emerged in the Gulf of Oman, adding to increased observed bi-directional traffic across the northern and southern routes of the Strait of Hormuz even as conflicting narratives over the status of transits persist.

The Desh Vibhor, Desh Vaibhav and Sanmar Herald were observed in the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea on Sunday, after having been last seen signaling their attempt to cross the Strait of Hormuz late Friday, ship-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg News show. The supertankers, each signaling Indian ownership or India-bound cargo, carry between them nearly 6 million barrels of Iraqi and Kuwaiti oil. It could not be immediately determined the routes these tankers took, but their attempts to sail toward Qeshm island suggest they may have taken a Tehran-approved one.

Shipping Corporation of India, the owner and manager of Desh Vibhor and Desh Vaibhav, did not immediately respond to requests for comment, nor did Sanmar Shipping Ltd, the operator of Sanmar Herald.

Conflicting Narratives

The journeys are part of a growing tally of tankers embarking on crossings through the energy chokepoint amid competing narratives from Iran and the US as the two sides prepare for peace negotiations. Iran proclaimed the Hormuz shut on Saturday, citing ceasefire violations in Lebanon; however, the US Central Command pushed back, stating that traffic had actually increased, with 55 merchant ships delivering nearly 17 million barrels of oil crossing the strait on Saturday.

Observed Traffic

  • Approaching Hormuz: Three fully laden crude supertankers were seen entering the strait on the Omani side late Saturday before they stopped signaling. One is delivering 2 million barrels of Saudi crude to Japan, while another is lifting 2 million barrels of Qatari crude.
  • Reverse Direction: Three empty tankers signaled their locations while sailing into the Persian Gulf along the Omani coast. This included a very large gas carrier and two crude supertankers that recently delivered Emirati crude.

Some Gulf producers are known to dispatch tankers “dark” (with transponders off) through Hormuz to allow cargoes to be transferred to fresh vessels in those waters without drawing attention to the shipments.


The following is a reproduction of the Bengaluru Long Story article titled "India’s biggest bank deserves a better valuation: SBI chief", which includes an interview with Challa Sreenivasulu Setty, from the June 22, 2026, edition of Mint Bengaluru:

India’s biggest bank deserves a better valuation: SBI chief

SBI chairman C.S. Setty says the state-owned lender is better positioned from a regulatory and growth-capital perspective

By Shayan Ghosh & Satish John MUMBAI

With a loan book of nearly ₹50 trillion, State Bank of India (SBI) is by far India’s largest bank. It has also spawned a clutch of businesses that stand on their own, and some of the bank’s bets, such as in the National Stock Exchange of India Ltd (NSE), are set to bring in multiples of its initial investment.

In an interview with Mint, Challa Sreenivasulu Setty, SBI’s 27th chairman, said the 71-year-old bank is seeing a greater share of young customers and its customer satisfaction scores improving. The state-owned bank’s stock has also performed better than that of its private-sector peers, rising 28% since Setty took charge on 28 August 2024, while ICICI Bank Ltd’s shares were up 10% and HDFC Bank Ltd’s down 5% over the same period.

Setty, asserting that the bank’s state ownership never came in the way of it adopting new technology and digitalisation, insisted SBI deserves a better valuation. As on 19 June, SBI had a market capitalization of about ₹9.56 trillion, compared to ICICI Bank at ₹9.67 trillion and HDFC Bank at ₹12 trillion.

Setty also highlighted the bank’s three-pronged artificial intelligence (AI) strategy and said the banking industry’s credit growth could increasingly be funded through bonds and market instruments, not just deposits.


Edited Excerpts:

It has been nearly two years since you took charge as SBI’s chairman. What were your immediate priorities? When I took over in August 2024, there was no defining problem like asset quality or consolidation to solve. I felt I should focus on a few things: launching a state-of-the-art, built-from-scratch Yono 2.0, which we launched last year; and strengthening the bank’s capital. We had a successful QIP in July 2025, raising ₹25,000 crore, which strengthened our capital ratios. We also embarked upon Project Saral for Operation Process Reengineering.

Were there any surprises when you took over? Despite being on the board for four years as managing director, I realized that nothing prepares you to be chairman of this complex institution. The position entails greater responsibility and a dramatically altered stakeholder landscape.

How do you see the outcome of SBI’s investments in subsidiaries and the NSE? We have almost 18 non-banking subsidiaries. Our initial investment was around ₹6,000 crore; today, the value of our shares in these is around ₹3 trillion. As for NSE, we were initial shareholders and will definitely take a call on participating in its proposed IPO.

Do you think you have been able to make a change in customer service? Quality as measured by customer satisfaction (CSAT) and net promoter scores (NPS) has seen a marked improvement. Our account attrition rate is coming down, and over 33% of our customer base is now below 30 years. Customers expect more from SBI because they feel a sense of ownership—"this is my own bank".

Which sectors have high potential for credit expansion? I see the power sector coming back in a big way globally and in India. MSME is also growing well; at SBI, MSME loan approvals are now processed within 15 to 20 minutes.

raising deposits is becoming a challenge. What is your view? The landscape of household savings is changing through the financialization of savings. Diversification into pensions (NPS) and insurance is underway. Banks will need to fund credit growth differently; the liability side will no longer be purely funded by deposits, with bonds and other market instruments coming into play.

What is your assessment of India’s economic outlook? I am a die-hard optimist. India has always been a growth story. We believe SBI is a proxy to the Indian economy and encourage investors to be long-term.

What kind of AI use-cases are you seeing? Our approach is based on three pillars: responsible AI, helping stakeholders (employees and customers), and improving governance and risk management. We are deploying GenAI and agentic AI for fraud management and regulatory reporting, as well as hyper-personalisation.

With Indian companies going abroad, would SBI be the banker of choice? Our international presence is geared towards servicing Indian relationships; almost two-thirds of our book is India-related. We are also one of the largest remittance-handling banks for the Indian diaspora and are looking at providing M&A solutions now that the RBI has allowed them through local balance sheets.

What flows are you looking at from the RBI’s FCNR(B) window? We have activated our foreign offices and NRI branches for FCNR(B) deposit mobilisation. We are also looking at whether corporates seek ECBs and may raise money on our own balance sheet through bonds or loans to use at our overseas offices.


Key Numbers for SBI:

  • 65,000: New customers added every day.
  • 33%: Share of customers under the age of 30.
  • ₹3 trillion: Value created from subsidiaries from an initial ₹6,000 crore investment.
  • 28.1%: SBI's market share in home loans as of March 2026.

The following is a reproduction of the article titled "Will Zee’s Fifa bet shake up the entertainment market?", written by Lata Jha, from the June 22, 2026, edition of Mint Bengaluru:

Will Zee’s Fifa bet shake up the entertainment market?

Broadcasters & streaming platforms could see strengthened competition for viewer eyeballs

By Lata Jha NEW DELHI

Marquee sports rights are set to reshape India’s television and streaming market. With Zee Entertainment Enterprises partnering the Fédération Internationale de Football Association (Fifa) to bring Fifa World Cup 2026 and other Fifa properties to India, broadcasters and streaming platforms in the entertainment market could see strengthened competition for viewer eyeballs, advertising and subscriptions that will go well beyond the arena of sports.

According to industry experts, Fifa can strengthen Zee’s linear TV and OTT proposition and improve ad sales across its entertainment and sports network during tournament periods, even as rival JioStar dominates the country’s sports ecosystem. While Zee has not disclosed the size of the deal, industry executives peg it at around $30-40 million for the entire package.

Audience Engagement and Loyalty

Viewers benefit from greater competition in sports broadcasting, which can improve viewing quality, innovation and promotional offers. However, fragmentation remains a pain point as consumers increasingly need multiple subscriptions across platforms to access different sports properties.

“The larger shift we are seeing across the industry is that audiences increasingly expect integrated and high-engagement content ecosystems, rather than siloed entertainment experiences,” said Bavesh Janavlekar, chief business officer, Unite8 Sports at Zee Entertainment Enterprises. He added that premium live sports properties like Fifa drive appointment viewing, repeat engagement, and stronger audience loyalty.

Targeting New Demographics

Zee Group’s Fifa deal signifies reaching out to new audiences through a premium, global youth-skewed property that can be cross-promoted across various general entertainment channels (GECs) and platforms. Ramkishen Y., professor of marketing at K.J. Somaiya Institute of Management, noted that while cricket remains the biggest monetization sporting ecosystem in India, the Zee move creates a ripple effect as a challenger brand in the football ecosystem.

Currently, JioStar carries the deepest sports stack (IPL to EPL), while Sony remains a major football broadcaster with the UEFA Championship on SonyLIV. Netflix’s sports strategy focuses on live events like WWE, and Prime Video has a sports section that is not yet dominant in India.

Strategic Advantages

Rajat Agrawal, COO at Ultra Media & Entertainment Group, highlighted that football's popularity among younger, urban audiences aligns with Zee's target demographic, enabling effective marketing strategies. Unlike movies and web series, which often target female or family audiences, sports events draw male viewers across all ages and regions, including tier-2 and tier-3 towns.

Vishal Agrahari, vice-president at BC Web Wise, suggested that these sports rights strengthen Zee’s bargaining power in OTT bundling discussions. Telcos may see value in bundling ZEE5 with data plans during Fifa windows to drive ARPU (average revenue per user) and engagement. Meanwhile, Sony may need to reinforce its portfolio to avoid losing its "share of voice" in premium sports broadcasting.


Grand Deal Highlights:

  • Strengthening Proposition: Experts believe Fifa will bolster Zee’s linear TV and OTT (ZEE5) offerings.
  • Estimated Value: The deal is pegged at approximately $30-40 million.
  • Viewer Benefit: Increased competition is expected to improve viewing quality.
  • Demographic Shift: Unlike scripted series, sports draw a wide range of male viewers across various regions.

The following is the content of the Mint Money feature titled "How different assets are taxed?", which outlines capital gains tax treatment across various assets following Budget 2024:

How different assets are taxed?

This table shows the post Budget 2024 capital gains tax treatment across different assets. As a uniform rule, LTCG on all assets except debt funds is now 12.5%, and STCG on assets where STT is paid is 20%, while assets without STT continue to be taxed at slab rates.

AssetHolding period for LTCGSTCG tax rateLTCG tax rate
Equity MFs, ETFs and stocks>12 months20%12.5%*
Gold ETFs>12 monthsSlab rate12.5%
Reits/InVITs>12 months20%12.5%
Debt MFs (Bought before 1 April 2023)**>24 monthsSlab rate12.5%
Debt MFs (Bought 1 April 2023 onwards)**NASlab rateSlab rate
Listed bonds>12 monthsSlab rate12.5%
Gold MFs, physical gold, overseas MFs, FOFs>24 monthsSlab rate12.5%
Foreign equity, international ETFs>24 monthsSlab rate12.5%
Real estate>24 monthsSlab rateBought after 23 July 2024: 12.5%Bought before 23 July 2024: lower of 12.5% without indexation and 20% with indexation

Footnotes:

  • *On gains above ₹1.25 lakh.
  • **Includes funds that have invested over 65% of proceeds in debt and money market instruments.

The following is a reproduction of the article titled "Pressure building on UK’s Starmer to quit", found in the News Wrap section on page 9 of the June 22, 2026, edition of Mint Bengaluru:

Pressure building on UK’s Starmer to quit

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is facing a career-defining decision: step down or fight a challenge from Labour Party rival Andy Burnham. Starmer has publicly vowed to stay in post, but pressure is building as more and more Labour Party colleagues conclude his time is up.

Expectation is growing that he will announce a timetable for his resignation as soon as Monday. That’s the day Burnham will be sworn in as a lawmaker in the House of Commons after winning a special election last week.

Business secretary Peter Kyle on Sunday said Starmer is “making time to reflect on the political realities, challenges and opportunities that he finds himself in”.

“I know he is a prime minister who always puts his country first,” Kyle told the BBC, though he said reports that Starmer will resign are “speculation”.


The following is a reproduction of the "Our View" article titled "Warsh’s Fed leadership: can we breathe easier?", from page 12 of the June 22, 2026, edition of Mint Bengaluru:

Warsh’s Fed leadership: can we breathe easier?

The US Fed’s decision to hold rates steady under its new chair Warsh reaffirms that politics has no place in rate decisions. It matters. Fed actions affect global markets, India’s included.

Last Wednesday, the US Fed’s newly minted chair Kevin Warsh showed an eagerly waiting and watching world that he is his own man, not his master’s voice. In a move that was widely anticipated, but nonetheless hugely reassuring for other central banks apprehensive of any hint of political influence, the US Federal Reserve held its policy (fed funds) rate unchanged at 3.5-3.75% for the fourth successive time. No doubt, rising inflation in America had a great deal to do with the Fed’s 12-member FOMC’s unanimous decision. At 4.2% in May, inflation is already the highest since April 2023 and is likely to go higher before it begins to fall, even assuming West Asia’s fragile peace deal holds. US President Donald Trump may “love” inflation, as he recently said, but the public does not, and the Fed is alive to that. Given its dual mandate to keep inflation at its long-term target of 2% while ensuring maximum employment, Warsh did not really have much choice. Unlike in India, where the RBI governor has an outsized say in rate decisions, Warsh has only one of 12 FOMC votes. So even if he wants a rate cut, he has to convince at least six other policymakers to join him—a difficult task given that America’s inflation outlook for the end of 2026 has been marked up to 3.6% from 2.7% earlier.

The Fed’s policy statement left no one in doubt about how it sees its priorities, stating, “The Committee will deliver price stability”. Warsh reaffirmed this at his post-policy press conference, noting that they intend to fix an inflation target that has been missed for five years. Warsh the Fed chair, it appears, is not the same as Warsh the candidate who often called for lower rates, echoing Trump’s calls for cheaper credit. Though he did not submit any forecast of his own for the Fed’s ‘dot plot,’ the plot’s latest update reveals a sharp change in views; in contrast to earlier positions, rate-setting panellists are now veering towards either no rate cuts or small hikes for the rest of 2026.

The Fed’s short hawkish statement was followed by a sharp selloff on stock markets amid a rise in short-term bond yields. At the press conference, attention shifted to two of Warsh’s pet themes: a review of how the Fed takes decisions and how it addresses the public. Warsh has been critical of the central bank’s bloated balance sheet, with its $6.7 trillion portfolio of government debt and mortgage-backed securities, and its lengthy statements that he claims limit the space for Fed action. A shrunk balance sheet would imply monetary tightening, while terse statements may leave markets in the dark. We will have to wait and watch how the Fed’s new chief goes about tackling these, as what the Fed does today affects global markets, India’s included, with or without a lag.

The following is a reproduction of the "From the Vault" article titled "Arora exits SoftBank as Son sticks on", originally published on 22 June 2016 and featured on page 12 of the 22 June 2026 edition of Mint Bengaluru:

Arora exits SoftBank as Son sticks on

Arora will still play an advisory role at SoftBank; India-born executive also sells the shares he bought at the time of joining the company

By Sundeep Khanna

Nikesh Arora, heir apparent to the chief executive officer’s role at SoftBank Group Corp., is leaving the Japanese company after founder, chairman and CEO Masayoshi Son, who had been expected to step down after turning 60 next year, said he will remain at the helm.

India-born Arora, 48, who joined SoftBank in September 2014 with a bulge-bracket annual salary of $135 million, and Son announced the departure a day after a panel comprising independent members of the company’s board cleared the former of conflict-of-interest charges.

Arora will step down as representative director, president and chief operating officer of SoftBank and will assume an advisory role effective 1 July. Simultaneously, he will also step down from the chairmanship at Yahoo Japan, a company in which SoftBank has a 36.4% stake, as well as director of Sprint, the ill-fated acquisition Son made in 2013.

In addition, he has also sold the 60 billion yen (around $483 million at the time) of SoftBank shares he bought at the time of joining the company, incurring what he termed “a small loss” in the process.

“Nikesh is a unique leader with unparalleled skills around strategy and execution. He should be CEO of a global business, and I had hoped to hand over the reins of SoftBank to him on my 60th birthday—but I feel my work is not done,” Son said in a statement. “I want to cement SoftBank 2.0, develop Sprint to its true potential and work on a few more crazy ideas. This will require me to be CEO for at least another five to 10 years—this is not a time frame for me to keep Nikesh waiting for the top job,” added Son.

Arora, who joined SoftBank from Google Inc., where he was the chief business officer, said: “Helping Masa begin the transformation of SoftBank and sowing the early seeds has been a great experience. I have enjoyed working with Masa and the SoftBank team and I look forward to my next challenge. In the meantime I will continue to support SoftBank and our investee companies”.

The unexpected parting will come with a hefty severance package for Arora, who generated over $20 billion in cash in one month, a first in SoftBank’s history. The company stated they would compensate him in accordance with global standards. Recently, SoftBank sold a small part of its shareholding in Alibaba Group for $7.9 billion and agreed to sell its stake in game developer Supercell for a total return of $7.3 billion.

One fund manager, Amir Anvarzadeh, noted that the departure of Arora demonstrated “disunity,” stating, “You can’t really sprinkle any sugar on this one”.


The following is a reproduction of the Monday Motivation article titled "The golden rule of productivity", featuring Siddharth Jain, from page 14 of the June 22, 2026, edition of Mint Bengaluru:

The golden rule of productivity

Kearney India’s Siddharth Jain on the secret to getting more done

By Shail Desai

Like most kids of his generation, Siddharth Jain was an ardent fan of Sachin Tendulkar. His prowess on the field apart, what really struck a chord was the legendary cricketer’s ability to carry pressure with grace and show up match after match, regardless of the noise around him. Jain knows a thing or two about it, having spent 18 long years in consultancy with Kearney India.

“In my field, no two years look the same. The sectors have evolved, the clients have grown more sophisticated and the problems are more complex. There is always something new to figure out,” says Mumbai-based Jain, 42, Managing Partner & Country Head, Kearney India.

His biggest learning over the years has come through conversations with clients, peers and leaders across industries, and by keeping abreast with developments and comprehending data. According to Jain, the key to building a successful career in consultancy is by cultivating the ability to walk into unfamiliar situations, orienting efficiently and arriving at an opinion.

Jain talks to Mint about making the most of mornings and why mentorship is about asking the right questions.


Who do you consider your mentor?

Two early bosses shaped me in specific ways. Vikas Kaushal taught me to be bold and passionate about winning, and to combine that hunger with real attention to detail. Kaushika Madhavan taught me empathy and the importance of always doing the right thing, even when the easier path exists. But the single greatest influence on me, professionally and personally, has been my elder brother, Rahul Jain. He has shown me what it looks like to bring genuine passion to work and to strive for excellence always.

One major insight you worked on with your mentor’s guidance?

That conviction and humility are not opposites—they are complements. Vikas pushed me to back my views and go after outcomes with full commitment. Kaushika reminded me that how you get there matters as much as whether you get there. My brother tied it all together.

What are some of the productivity principles you follow?

The first is 80:20—knowing which 20% of the work will deliver 80% of the value and having the discipline to focus there is the single biggest productivity lever. It sounds obvious, but few practice it. The second is speed over accuracy—not recklessness, but a bias for momentum. A good answer today almost always beats a perfect answer next week. In consulting and in business generally, the cost of delay is consistently underestimated.


Monday Motivation is a series in which business leaders discuss their mentors and their work ethics.



Ukrainian Campaign Targeting Russian Logistics and Energy Infrastructure

 

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 20, 2026

Toplines / Analyst Notes Ukrainian forces continued a systematic campaign to strike bridges and transport infrastructure supporting Russian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) between occupied Kherson Oblast and Crimea. Key reports from June 20, 2026, include:

  • Bridge Strikes: Ukrainian forces struck a road bridge over the Henichesk Strait and another near Voinka, Crimea, aimed at disrupting supply routes from Crimea to southern Ukraine.
  • Logistics Interdiction: Strikes were reported against Russian logistics transports near Armyansk and Chaplynka, a tug near Skadovsk, and a fuel tanker near Chaplynka. Satellite imagery confirmed significant damage to the Henichesk and Chonhar bridges, limiting them to single-lane traffic for light vehicles while forcing military trucks to use pontoons.
  • Intermediate-Range Campaign: Ukraine is increasing its intermediate-range strike campaign across southern Ukraine to disrupt supply routes from southwestern Russia to occupied Crimea.
  • Logistical Disruptions: Russian forces on the left bank of Kherson Oblast are facing increasing difficulties in accumulating personnel and ammunition. Passenger trains to/from Crimea are being shortened and stopped at Kerch due to "temporary closures" of railway sections, possibly following Ukrainian strikes.
  • Force Protection: Russia has had to commit additional manpower to protect GLOCs, including deploying mobile fire teams to escort fuel tankers.

Strikes on Energy Infrastructure Ukrainian forces targeted Russian oil, gas, and energy infrastructure overnight on June 19 and 20.

  • Crimea: Explosions and fires were reported at a "TES" fuel facility northwest of Bakhchysarai and at the Tavriyska Thermal Power Plant. Drone strikes also targeted gas compression stations near Zhuravlivka, Aromatne, Klyichi, and Lokhivka.
  • Russian Federation: Ukrainian drones targeted the Tyumen Oil Refinery (approximately 2,000 km from the border), one of Russia's largest independent refineries. While Russian officials claimed the attack was repelled, geolocated footage showed smoke and reports indicated significant fire truck presence at the scene.
  • Impact: These systematic strikes are exacerbating fuel shortages across Russia. Widespread gasoline shortages and price increases have been observed in St. Petersburg, Voronezh, Tula, and Saratov. Tver and Tula oblasts have introduced temporary sales restrictions or reported shortages attributed to logistical problems.

Drone Warfare Adaptations Russian forces are attempting to adapt their drone operations following the loss of Starlink (blocked by SpaceX on February 1, 2026) and continued Ukrainian strikes.

  • Tactical Shifts: Russia has reduced the use of certain drones at operational depths, instead using them at shorter distances. They are increasingly relying on cheaper reconnaissance drones (like the Knyaz Veshchy Oleg) flown at higher altitudes and using interceptor drones to escort strike drones.
  • Counter-Drone Measures: To protect logistics along major highways like the M-14, Russia is deploying specialized units like the BARS-Sarmat Unmanned Systems Special Purpose Center to intercept Ukrainian strike drones.

Key Takeaways

  1. Systematic Ukrainian strikes on bridges connecting Kherson and Crimea.
  2. Disrupted GLOCs and worsening logistics for Russian forces on the left bank and Crimea.
  3. Continued strikes on Russian oil, gas, and energy infrastructure.
  4. Efforts by Russian officials to mitigate gas price increases and spreading shortages.
  5. Russian adaptation of drone usage to compensate for Starlink loss.
  6. Recent Russian advances in the Kostyantynivka and Pokrovsk directions.
  7. Russian launch of 99 drones against Ukraine overnight.

Detailed Operational Axis Assessments

Ukrainian Operations in the Russian Federation Satellite imagery confirmed that Ukrainian strikes against the Moscow Oil Refinery on June 18 destroyed or damaged multiple storage tanks and a primary refining unit. In Belgorod Oblast, Ukrainian forces struck drone control points, communications equipment, and a BM-21 Grad MLRS near the international border.

Northern Axis (Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts)

  • Sumy: Russian forces conducted limited operations but did not advance; Ukrainian forces counterattacked southeast of Sumy City.
  • Kharkiv: Offensive operations continued north and northeast of Kharkiv City and east of Velykyi Burluk without reported advances.

Oskil River / Kupyansk Direction Russian forces continued infiltration efforts near Kupyansk, with reports of servicemembers entering central Radkivka. Russia is reportedly intensifying glide bomb strikes (FAB-500) against Ukrainian drone operators and bridges (such as the H-20 Kupyansk-Chuhuiv highway) to degrade defenses.

Luhansk Oblast Ukraine continues its intermediate-range strike campaign here, targeting Russian armored fighting vehicles and logistics trucks near Mykhailivka and Lysychansk. Russian officials reported drone-dropped explosives on the M-03 highway, leading to traffic restrictions near the border. Russia is redeploying counter-drone detachments (such as the Svarog detachment) to this area to protect its rear.

Donetsk Oblast

  • Lyman: Ukrainian forces maintain positions in eastern Lyman despite Russian infiltration missions. Russia has intensified assaults in this direction, utilizing thick foliage for concealment.
  • Kostyantynivka: Russian forces are consolidating positions through deeper infiltrations in the northern, western, and central parts of the city. While Russia claims the city is falling, Ukrainian units continue to defend and target Russian drone control points.
  • Pokrovsk: Russian forces made marginal advances west of Rodynske. Ukrainian forces continue to interdict logistics on the H-20 Mariupol-Donetsk City highway.

Southern Axis (Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts)

  • Zaporizhzhia: Russian forces are targeting bridges in Zaporizhzhia City to undermine Ukrainian logistics to Orikhiv. The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) lost offsite power on June 20 for the 20th time since the war began. Ukraine continues to strike Russian air defense (Pantsir-S) and fuel trucks along the M-14 and P-37 highways.
  • Kherson: Ukrainian forces continue to target Russian artillery and drone operators on the left bank, forcing Russian towed guns deeper into the rear or into dense urban areas for camouflage.

Russian Air, Missile, and Drone Campaign On the night of June 19 to 20, Russia launched 99 drones (Shahed, Gerbera, Italmas, and Parodiya types). Ukrainian forces downed 92 of them. Strikes hit infrastructure in Donetsk, Kharkiv, Kirovohrad, Mykolaiv, Kyiv, Odesa, and Zaporizhia oblasts, including a post office strike in Zaporizhzhia City that wounded 15 people.

Belarus There was nothing significant to report regarding Russian military presence or integration in Belarus.

The Delimitation Act, 2026

 The primary purpose of The Delimitation Bill, 2026 is to provide for the readjustment of seat allocations in the House of the People (Lok Sabha) and the Legislative Assemblies of States and Union territories. According to the sources, this includes the division of these regions into territorial constituencies for upcoming elections.

The broader objectives and purpose of the Bill are detailed below:

1. Addressing Demographic Shifts

The Bill addresses the fact that current seat allocations are based on the 1971 census, and the division of territorial constituencies is based on the 2001 census. Significant population growth and migration—particularly from rural to urban areas—have led to varying population densities across electoral constituencies, necessitating a readjustment based on the "latest census figures" to ensure equitable representation.

2. Implementation of Women’s Reservation

A central objective of the 2026 Bill is to facilitate the reservation of one-third of the total number of seats for women in the House of the People and State Legislative Assemblies. This includes:

  • Seats reserved for women belonging to the Scheduled Castes (SC) and Scheduled Tribes (ST).
  • The rotation of these reserved seats across different constituencies within a State or Union territory.
  • The overarching goal of this provision is to enhance women's participation in policy-making and governance.

3. Constitutional and Legal Mandate

The Bill seeks to fulfill requirements under Articles 82 and 170 of the Constitution, which mandate that seat allocations and constituency divisions be readjusted by an authority determined by Parliament after a census. It also aligns with newer constitutional provisions (Articles 239AA, 330A, 332A, and 334A) regarding women's representation.

4. Fair Representation for SC and ST Communities

The Delimitation Commission is tasked with determining the number of seats to be reserved for Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes based on population. The Bill specifies that these reserved constituencies should be located in areas where the proportion of their population to the total is largest or comparatively large.

5. Establishment of the Delimitation Commission

To achieve these objectives, the Bill provides for the constitution of a Delimitation Commission. This Commission is empowered to:

  • Determine its own procedures with the powers of a civil court.
  • Use "latest census figures" as the foundation for all readjustments.
  • Ensure constituencies are geographically compact areas that respect physical features, administrative boundaries, and public convenience.
  • Issue orders that carry the force of law and cannot be questioned in any court.

Under The Delimitation Bill, 2026, the Delimitation Commission is the central authority established to perform the critical task of redrawing electoral boundaries and readjusting seat allocations in India,.

The sources provide the following details regarding the Commission's composition, duties, and powers:

1. Composition of the Commission

The Commission is constituted by the Central Government through a notification and consists of three primary members:

  • Chairperson: A person who is or has been a Judge of the Supreme Court, appointed by the Central Government,.
  • Ex Officio Members: The Chief Election Commissioner (or a nominated Election Commissioner) and the State Election Commissioner of the state being reviewed.
  • Secretariat Support: An ex officio Secretary, nominated from the Secretaries of the Election Commission, assists the Commission using the resources and employees of the Election Commission.

2. Associate Members and Expert Assistance

To ensure local representation and technical accuracy, the Commission incorporates additional support:

  • Associate Members: For each State, the Commission associates ten persons—five from the House of the People and five from the State’s Legislative Assembly—nominated by their respective Speakers,. While they assist the Commission, they do not have the right to vote or sign the Commission's final decisions.
  • Technical Experts: The Commission has the power to call upon the Registrar-General and Census Commissioner, the Surveyor General of India, experts in geographical information systems (GIS), or any other government officer whose expertise is required,.

3. Core Duties and Mandate

The Commission’s primary duty is to readjust the allocation of seats and delimit territorial constituencies based on the "latest census figures",. This includes:

  • Seat Allocation: Determining the number of seats for the House of the People and each State Legislative Assembly.
  • Reservations: Determining the number and location of seats reserved for Scheduled Castes (SC) and Scheduled Tribes (ST),.
  • Women’s Representation: A key new mandate is to provide for the one-third reservation of seats for women, including the rotation of these reserved seats across different constituencies,,.
  • Constituency Design: Ensuring constituencies are geographically compact, respecting administrative boundaries, physical features, and public convenience.

4. Legal Powers and Procedures

The Commission operates with significant legal authority:

  • Civil Court Powers: It determines its own procedures and possesses the powers of a civil court for summoning witnesses, requiring document production, and requisitioning public records,.
  • Decision Making: Acts and orders are determined by the majority opinion of the members.
  • Finality of Orders: Once the Commission’s orders are published in the Gazette of India, they carry the force of law and cannot be questioned in any court.
  • Public Consultation: Before finalizing orders, the Commission must publish its proposals and hold public sittings to consider objections and suggestions from the citizenry,.

5. Terms and Operational Context

The Central Government specifies the term of the Commission, which can be extended upon the Commission's request. Its orders apply to every election held after their publication, superseding any previous inconsistent laws or notifications,. The Commission is also specifically mandated to act for the purpose of delimiting constituencies in Jammu and Kashmir currently under the occupation of Pakistan, should that occupation cease,.


Under The Delimitation Bill, 2026, associate members are individuals nominated to assist the Delimitation Commission in its duties for each specific State or Union territory. Their involvement ensures that local legislative representatives from both the national and state levels have a voice in the delimitation process, though their formal power within the Commission is strictly limited.

The following details regarding associate members are outlined in the sources:

1. Composition and Selection

For each State, the Commission associates ten persons to provide assistance. The composition is typically split as follows:

  • Five members of the House of the People (Lok Sabha) who represent that State.
  • Five members of the Legislative Assembly of that State.

Special Provision for Smaller States: If a State has five or fewer members in the House of the People, all those members serve as associate members. In such cases, the total number of associate members for that State will be fewer than ten.

2. Nomination Process

The responsibility for nominating these members lies with the presiding officers of the respective legislative bodies:

  • Nominating Authorities: The Speaker of the House of the People nominates the Lok Sabha representatives, and the Speaker of the Legislative Assembly nominates the state-level representatives.
  • Composition Criteria: Nominations must be made with "due regard to the composition" of the respective House or Assembly, ensuring representative diversity.
  • Timeline: The first nominations must be made by Assembly Speakers within one month and by the Lok Sabha Speaker within two months of the Commission's constitution.
  • Communication: These nominations are communicated to the Chief Election Commissioner and, in the case of state nominations, also to the Speaker of the House of the People.

3. Role and Key Limitations

While associate members are integral to the Commission's work in a specific State, the Bill establishes clear boundaries regarding their authority:

  • Purpose of Assistance: Their primary role is to assist the Commission in its duties, specifically for matters relating to their respective State.
  • No Decision-Making Power: Explicitly, associate members do not have the right to vote on Commission matters, nor do they have the right to sign any final decision of the Commission.
  • Right to Dissent: When the Commission publishes its proposals for the delimitation of constituencies, it must also include any dissenting proposals from associate members who wish for them to be published.

4. Administrative and Operational Rules

The Bill also provides for the continued operation and stability of the associate member groups:

  • Filling Vacancies: If an associate member’s office falls vacant due to death or resignation, it is to be filled "as soon as may be practicable" by the relevant Speaker.
  • Continuity of Action: A group of associate members has the power to act despite the temporary absence of a member or the existence of a vacancy in the group. Any proceedings or acts taken during such an absence cannot be called into question or invalidated on those grounds.

Under The Delimitation Bill, 2026, the Delimitation Commission is granted extensive legal powers and a defined procedural framework to ensure it can effectively and independently carry out the readjustment of electoral boundaries.

1. Powers of the Commission

The Commission is designed to function with the authority of a judicial body to facilitate its information-gathering and decision-making processes:

  • Civil Court Authority: In the performance of its functions, the Commission possesses all the powers of a civil court under the Code of Civil Procedure, 1908. This specifically includes the power to:
    • Summon and enforce the attendance of witnesses.
    • Require the production of any document.
    • Requisition any public record from any court or office.
  • Information Gathering: The Commission can require any person to furnish information it deems useful or relevant to its considerations.
  • Technical Assistance: It has the power to call upon specialized government officials and experts—including the Registrar-General and Census Commissioner, the Surveyor General of India, and GIS experts—all of whom are duty-bound to assist.
  • Delegation of Power: The Commission may authorize any of its members to exercise its civil court powers. Any order or act done by an authorized member is considered an act of the Commission itself.
  • Legal Finality: Once the Commission’s orders are published in the Gazette of India, they have the force of law and cannot be questioned in any court. This overriding effect applies notwithstanding any other existing laws.

2. Operational Procedures

The Bill provides the Commission with the flexibility to manage its internal operations while mandating transparency in its final outputs:

  • Self-Determined Procedure: The Commission has the autonomy to determine its own procedure for conducting business.
  • Decision-Making: If members have a difference of opinion, the opinion of the majority prevails. All acts and orders of the Commission are expressed based on this majority view.
  • Operational Continuity: The Commission and any group of associate members can continue to act despite the temporary absence of a member or a vacancy in their ranks. Such proceedings cannot be invalidated because of these absences or vacancies.
  • Secretariat Support: Its functions are discharged with the assistance of an ex officio Secretary (nominated from the Election Commission) and the staff of the Election Commission, all under the supervision of the Chairperson.

3. Public and Transparency Procedures

Before its orders become final, the Commission must follow a public-facing process:

  • Publication of Proposals: It must publish its delimitation proposals in the Gazette of India and relevant State Gazettes. Importantly, it must also include any dissenting proposals from associate members if they request it.
  • Public Sittings and Consultation: The Commission must specify a date for further consideration of its proposals and consider all objections and suggestions received. To facilitate this, it is required to hold one or more public sittings at places it deems fit within each State.
  • Dissemination of Final Orders: Final orders must be published in the Gazette of India, State Gazettes, at least two vernacular newspapers, and through media like radio and television. Additionally, District Election Officers must display these orders in their offices for public notice.
  • Parliamentary Oversight: After publication, every order must be laid before the House of the People and the respective State Legislative Assemblies.

Under The Delimitation Bill, 2026, seat readjustment is the core process of updating the number and boundaries of electoral constituencies to ensure equitable representation based on demographic changes.

The sources outline the following key aspects of seat readjustment:

1. The Mandate for Readjustment

The primary duty of the Delimitation Commission is to readjust the allocation of seats in the House of the People (Lok Sabha) and the Legislative Assemblies of States and Union territories. This includes:

  • Determining the specific number of seats allocated to each State and Union territory in the House of the People.
  • Assigning the total number of seats for each State’s Legislative Assembly.
  • Dividing each region into single-member territorial constituencies.

2. The Basis: "Latest Census Figures"

The Bill emphasizes that all readjustments must be performed on the basis of the "latest census figures" published as of the date the Commission is constituted. The sources explain that this is necessary because current seat allocations are still tied to the 1971 census, while constituency boundaries are tied to the 2001 census. Readjustment is required to account for population growth and migration—particularly from rural to urban areas—which has led to varying population densities across constituencies.

3. Reservation and Rotation of Seats

A significant component of the 2026 readjustment exercise is the inclusion of new reservation mandates:

  • SC and ST Reservations: The Commission must determine the number of seats reserved for Scheduled Castes (SC) and Scheduled Tribes (ST) based on their population proportion.
  • Women’s Reservation: Following newer constitutional provisions, the Commission must reserve one-third of the total number of seats for women in both the House of the People and State Legislative Assemblies.
  • Rotation: These reserved seats for women—including those for women within the SC and ST categories—must be allotted by rotation to different constituencies within the State or Union territory.

4. Technical Rules for Readjustment

The Bill provides specific rules to ensure the geographical and logical integrity of the new constituencies:

  • Integral Multiple Rule: The total number of seats assigned to a State’s Legislative Assembly must be an integral multiple of the number of seats allocated to that State in the House of the People.
  • Geographical Integrity: Constituencies should be compact areas that respect physical features, existing administrative boundaries, communication facilities, and public convenience.
  • Alignment: Every Assembly constituency must be delimited so that it falls wholly within one Parliamentary constituency.
  • Single Constituency States: If a State is allocated only one seat in the House of the People, the entire State forms a single territorial constituency for that purpose.

5. Implementation and Legal Effect

  • Force of Law: Once the Commission’s readjustment orders are published in the Gazette of India, they carry the force of law and cannot be challenged in any court.
  • Timeline of Operation: The readjusted representation and new boundaries apply to every election held after the publication of the final orders.
  • Non-Interference with Existing Houses: The readjustment does not affect the representation of the current House of the People or Legislative Assembly until they are dissolved. Any bye-elections held before dissolution continue to use the previous boundaries.

One of the central objectives of The Delimitation Bill, 2026 is the formal implementation of women's reservation in India's legislative bodies, a mandate that significantly shapes the duties of the newly constituted Delimitation Commission.

The sources provide the following details regarding women's reservation:

1. Proportion and Scope of Reservation

The Bill mandates the reservation of one-third of the total number of seats for women. This reservation applies to:

  • The House of the People (Lok Sabha).
  • The Legislative Assemblies of every State and Union territory with a legislature.

2. Inclusion of SC and ST Women

The reservation is inclusive of women from marginalized communities. Specifically, the one-third reservation includes women belonging to the Scheduled Castes (SC) and the Scheduled Tribes (ST). The Delimitation Commission is tasked with specifically identifying and allocating these reserved seats.

3. The Rotation Mechanism

To ensure that representation is distributed over time, the Bill introduces a rotation system for these reserved seats:

  • General Rotation: Seats reserved for women are to be allotted by rotation to different territorial constituencies within a State or Union territory.
  • Specific SC/ST Rotation: Seats reserved for women belonging to the Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes must be rotated specifically within the constituencies already reserved for those categories.

4. Constitutional and Objectives Context

The Bill seeks to fulfill requirements under several Constitutional Articles (239AA, 330A, 332A, and 334A). The stated purpose of these provisions is to:

  • Enhance women’s representation in the House of the People and State Legislative Assemblies.
  • Enable greater participation of women in policy-making and governance, which the Bill views as a key outcome of effective delimitation.

5. Implementation by the Delimitation Commission

The Delimitation Commission is the authority empowered to carry out the technical work of this reservation. Its duties include:

  • Determining the exact number and location of reserved seats based on the "latest census figures".
  • Managing the rotation of seats.
  • Publishing proposals for these reserved constituencies and considering public objections or suggestions before finalizing them.

These reservations will apply to every general election and bye-election held after the final orders of the Delimitation Commission are published in the Official Gazette.


Under The Delimitation Bill, 2026, the process of redrawing electoral boundaries is guided by a specific set of delimitation principles designed to ensure that constituencies are logical, representative, and aligned with constitutional mandates.

The key principles outlined in the sources include:

1. Geographic and Administrative Cohesion

The Commission must follow specific physical and logistical criteria when determining the boundaries of territorial constituencies:

  • Geographical Compactness: All constituencies must, as far as practicable, be geographically compact areas.
  • Respect for Existing Boundaries: The delimitation process must have regard for the existing boundaries of administrative units.
  • Physical and Social Factors: The Commission must consider physical features, existing facilities of communication, and general public convenience to ensure constituencies are practical for both administration and voters.

2. Structural Alignment

The Bill mandates a strict hierarchy and mathematical relationship between different types of legislative seats:

  • Wholly Contained Constituencies: Every State Assembly constituency must be delimited so that it falls wholly within one Parliamentary constituency.
  • Integral Multiple Rule: The total number of seats assigned to a State’s Legislative Assembly must be an integral multiple of the number of seats allocated to that State in the House of the People.

3. Principles for Reserved Category Seats

Specific principles govern the placement of seats reserved for Scheduled Castes (SC) and Scheduled Tribes (ST):

  • SC Seat Distribution: Reserved seats for Scheduled Castes should be distributed in different parts of the State. They should be located, as far as practicable, in areas where the proportion of the SC population to the total is comparatively large.
  • ST Seat Concentration: In contrast, seats reserved for Scheduled Tribes should be located in areas where the proportion of their population to the total is the largest.

4. Women's Reservation and Rotation

The 2026 Bill introduces a new set of principles regarding gender representation:

  • One-Third Mandate: As nearly as may be, one-third of the total seats in the House of the People and State Legislative Assemblies must be reserved for women.
  • The Principle of Rotation: A key procedural principle is that these reserved seats (including those for women within the SC and ST categories) must be allotted by rotation to different constituencies within the State or Union territory.
  • Internal Rotation for SC/ST: For women belonging to Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes, the rotation of their reserved seats must occur within the constituencies already reserved for those specific categories.

5. Demographic Foundation

The overarching principle for all readjustments is that they must be based on the "latest census figures" published at the time the Commission is constituted. This ensures that the delimitation reflects current population dynamics, addressing the "varying density of population" caused by growth and migration since the previous census-based allocations.


Under The Delimitation Bill, 2026, the publication and operation of delimitation orders are governed by strict procedures to ensure legal finality, wide public awareness, and a clear transition between old and new electoral boundaries.

The following details regarding these processes are outlined in the sources:

1. Requirements for Wide Publication

To ensure transparency and public access, the Commission is required to disseminate its final orders through multiple channels:

  • Official Gazettes: Orders made under section 8 (readjustment of seats) and section 9 (delimitation of constituencies) must be published in the Gazette of India and the Official Gazettes of the States concerned.
  • Mass Media: Simultaneously, these orders must be published in at least two vernacular newspapers and publicized via radio, television, and other available media.
  • Local Notification: Every District Election Officer is mandated to affix the Gazette version of the orders relating to their specific jurisdiction in a conspicuous part of their office for public notice.

2. Legal Status and Finality

The Bill grants these orders significant legal authority once they are formalized:

  • Force of Law: Upon publication in the Gazette of India, every order has the force of law.
  • Non-Justiciability: The sources explicitly state that these orders cannot be called into question in any court.
  • Overriding Effect: These orders apply in supersession of any other existing law, notification, or order that is inconsistent with the provisions of the Act regarding representation and delimitation.

3. Operational Timeline for Elections

The Bill defines exactly when the new boundaries and seat allocations take effect:

  • Future Elections: The readjusted representation and delimitation apply to every election (both to the House of the People and State Legislative Assemblies) held after the publication of the orders in the Gazette of India.
  • Existing Houses: Crucially, the new orders do not affect the representation of the current House of the People or a State Legislative Assembly until that House or Assembly is dissolved.
  • Bye-elections: Any bye-election held to fill a vacancy in a House that existed on the date of the order's publication will continue to be held based on the old laws and boundaries.

4. Maintenance and Oversight

After the final orders are published, the Bill provides mechanisms for minor adjustments and parliamentary review:

  • Correcting Errors: The Election Commission is empowered to issue notifications to correct printing mistakes or inadvertent errors in the orders.
  • Updating Administrative Names: If the names or boundaries of districts or territorial divisions change, the Election Commission can update the orders accordingly, provided that the actual boundaries or extent of a constituency are not changed.
  • Parliamentary Layout: Every final order and subsequent corrective notification must be laid before the House of the People and the relevant State Legislative Assemblies.

The Commission is expected to endeavor to complete and publish these orders within the specific term specified by the Central Government.


The financial provisions for The Delimitation Bill, 2026 are outlined in the "Financial Memorandum," which details how the establishment and operations of the Delimitation Commission will be funded.

The following points summarize the financial arrangements:

1. Source of Funding

The expenditure required for setting up the Commission and its ongoing operations will be met from the Consolidated Fund of India.

2. Administrative Responsibility

The total cost of the delimitation exercise will be borne by the Election Commission of India. This includes not only the direct costs of the Commission but also any other expenses incurred specifically for the purpose of delimitation.

3. Scope of Expenses

The financial provisions cover several specific categories of operational costs:

  • Chairperson’s Compensation: This includes the salary and allowances for the Chairperson (who is or has been a Supreme Court Judge).
  • Commission Operations: General expenses in connection with the working of the Commission are included.
  • Staff and Assistance: The Commission functions with the assistance of an ex officio Secretary and employees of the Election Commission, as well as various technical experts and associate members (ten per state) who provide assistance, which contributes to the overall operational scope.

4. Estimated Expenditure

At the time of the Bill's introduction, the sources state that it is not possible to estimate precisely the total expenditure that will be incurred for the proposed Commission.



Newspaper Summary 210626

 

Domestic flows help cash market defy correction

By Akhil Nallamuthu, bl. research bureau

Indian equities may have fallen sharply in early 2026, but the cash market did not freeze. On the contrary, trading activity increased. The average daily turnover (ADT) in the cash market climbed from ₹1.02-lakh crore in December 2025 to ₹1.35-lakh crore in March 2026, even as benchmark indices corrected about 15 per cent. Such resilience during a sell-off was last seen during the Covid-led market crash.

The difference this time lay in who was driving the trade. Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) pulled out nearly ₹1.3-lakh crore in the first three months of 2026, but mutual funds pumped in about ₹1.5-lakh crore, helped by steady SIP flows. The result was a market correction without the usual collapse in cash-market activity, unlike the previous three corrections.

In fact, the cash market strength continued even after broader equity sentiment recovered. Cash ADT stood above ₹1.4-lakh crore in both April and May, hitting a two-year high. This indicates that the turnaround was not confined to the correction phase alone. For the January-May period, FPI outflows and mutual fund purchases stood at ₹2.25-lakh crore and ₹2.44-lakh crore, respectively.

INSTITUTIONAL MOVES

The latest episode also highlights a structural change in market ownership. During the Covid sell-off, foreign investors remained the dominant force in the market. Over the years, however, domestic institutions have steadily increased their presence. The shift became evident by March 2025, when domestic institutional investor (DII) ownership surpassed that of FPI.

The DII share of ownership in Nifty 500 companies expanded to an all-time high of 20.9 per cent in March 2026, while the FPI share dropped to a new low of 17.1 per cent. The influence of domestic investors is also evident in their buying firepower; during the first three months of 2026, net investments by mutual funds stood at ₹1.53-lakh crore, nearly four times higher than the net ₹41,304 crore invested during the early 2020 Covid sell-off. For the January-May period, the figure rose further to ₹2.87-lakh crore.

The resilience in turnover has also been aided by a revival in participation among non-institutional investors, particularly in the small- and mid-cap segments. “Small- and mid-cap stocks are seeing greater participation from non-institutional investors. Activity in these segments had fallen earlier but has picked up in recent months. That has helped support turnover in the cash market,” said Deepak Jasani, an independent market veteran.

DERIVATIVES GAME

Interestingly, the resilience in the cash segment stands in contrast to developments in the derivatives market. While cash market ADT rose during the correction, derivatives turnover remained below the levels seen before SEBI tightened norms in the F&O segment. Average daily derivatives turnover across exchanges declined from ₹472-lakh crore in December 2025 to ₹462-lakh crore in May 2026.

The sharp decline in late 2024 followed SEBI’s measures aimed at curbing excessive speculation, including higher contract sizes for index derivatives. Since then, market participants have gradually adapted to the new environment. “Traders have tweaked their systems and processes to better suit the new conditions they are operating in,” says Jasani.

The recovery, however, has not been uniform. According to Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO of Anand Rathi Wealth, smaller traders have been affected the most. “The most impacted category has been retail or individual traders, particularly those trading small-sized contracts with limited capital. The higher minimum contract sizes have effectively raised the entry barrier,” Azeez says.


‘India’s LPG use to double to 2 mb/d in 25 years’

By Rishi Ranjan Kala, New Delhi

Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) use in the world’s second largest consumer is projected to double in 25 years to 2 million barrels per day (mb/d). According to OPEC’s World Oil Outlook 2026, the demand growth in LPG will come from the residential sector, which accounts for almost 90 per cent of the annual requirement. Besides, an expanding petrochemicals segment is also pushing usage. The outlook period is from 2026 to 2050.

“India’s petrochemical sector also contributes to ethane/LPG demand growth. Additionally, LPG use is widespread in India’s residential sector and the country is projected to see higher demand for this product going forward. Overall, ethane/LPG demand is projected to double between 2025 and 2050 to reach nearly 2 mb/d,” OPEC said. Rising energy access in India will support LPG use in the long term, it anticipated. “In the light products sector, the largest increase is expected for ethane/ LPG, with demand increasing by 3.5 mb/d,” the report projected.

A back-of-the-envelope calculation shows that the country’s average LPG usage stood at roughly 90,991 TPD in FY26, 85,830 TPD in FY25 and 81,271 TPD in FY24. Almost 90 per cent is consumed by households for cooking with the remaining going to the industrial sector. The Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC) expects India to consume around 34.69 million tonnes (mt) of LPG in the current financial year, ending March 2027. This is a growth of roughly 4.5 per cent on an annual basis. India’s cumulative LPG consumption rose 6 per cent y-o-y to 33.21 mt in FY26 provisionally, which is the highest annual growth in usage since FY19.

LONG-TERM GROWTH

Overall, OPEC projects that the primary sources of long-term oil demand growth are India, Other Asia, the Middle East, Africa and Latin America. Demand in these regions is set to increase by 25.2 mb/d between 2025 and 2050, with India alone adding 8.1 mb/d. At the same time, oil demand in Other Asia, the Middle East and Africa is set to increase by 5.3 mb/d, 4.7 mb/d and 4.3 mb/d, respectively. Oil demand in Latin America is projected to increase by 2.8 mb/d and China by 1.1 mb/d over the same period, it added.

From a sectoral perspective, OPEC anticipates that oil demand growth out to 2050 is set to be driven by road transportation, aviation and petrochemicals, with increases of 5.7 mb/d, 4.2 mb/d and 4.6 mb/d, respectively.


Hormuz shut again; Iran, US teams in Swiss town for talks

Bloomberg

Iran said it has closed the Strait of Hormuz due to what it called a violation of the ceasefire by Israel attacking Lebanon. However, it sent a team to Switzerland for prospective peace talks with the US.

In Washington, Vice-President JD Vance said top US negotiators Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff were already in Switzerland working through technical details of the negotiations on Iran's nuclear programme. Talks initially set for Friday were put off after fighting.


Pushy product sales become tougher

By Kumar Shankar Roy, bl. research bureau

A customer applies for a loan, and along the way, an insurance cover is added. A credit card is sold as free, but the fee waiver depends on minimum spending. A mobile banking app flashes a limited-period loan offer with a countdown timer. These are familiar situations for many financial consumers, representing a grey zone between selling and mis-selling.

On June 15, 2026, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) issued final amendment directions to address these issues, covering a wide set of regulated entities including commercial banks, small finance banks, regional rural banks, and most NBFCs. These directions, which come into effect on January 1, 2027, dictate that financial products cannot be pushed through confusing consent, hidden add-ons, unsuitable recommendations, or manipulative digital design.

CLEAR CONSENT

A central pillar of the new rules is the requirement for explicit, specific, and informed consent. This must be obtained through a signed declaration, OTP approval, digitally recorded confirmation, or a clearly separated section in an agreement. Regulated entities must maintain proof of this consent for one year after the product relationship ends.

To prevent customers from inadvertently agreeing to multiple products, each service must be listed clearly, and the customer must have the option to choose only what is desired. Crucially, the default choice for consent on any interface must be “No” or “I do not agree”. Additionally, all sale documents for an entity's own products must be provided in a language understood by the customer or the local regional language.

The RBI has also widened the definition of mis-selling to include cases where a product is unsuitable for a customer's profile at the time of sale, even if explicit consent was given.

NO FORCED ADD-ONS

The new regulations strictly ban compulsory bundling, where one product is made conditional on another. For instance, a loan applicant cannot be forced to buy insurance only from the lender's preferred partner. Lenders are also prohibited from funding the purchase of any product or service out of a sanctioned loan facility without explicit consent.

The rules also target "dark patterns"—digital design tricks used to push users into choices. Prohibited tactics include:

  • False urgency and nagging.
  • Basket sneaking (adding extras without permission).
  • Confirm shaming (making users feel guilty for saying no).
  • Subscription traps and interface interference.
  • Bait-and-switch and drip pricing (hiding charges until later).

Regulated entities are now held responsible for the actions of their Direct Selling Agents (DSAs) and Direct Marketing Agents (DMAs). These representatives must not mislead customers about their identity, and those operating inside branches must be visually distinguishable from regular employees with clear identification. To curb aggressive mis-selling, employees are barred from receiving sales incentives or commissions from third-party product providers.

QUESTIONS TO ASK

Customers are encouraged to ask if a product is compulsory or optional, if it's from the bank or a third party, and to check for hidden default selections. Sales calls are restricted to between 09:00 and 19:00 hours, and home visits require explicit consent.

If mis-selling is established, the entity must refund the amount paid and compensate for losses. Customers typically have a 30-day window from the receipt of a signed agreement to complain if no other timeline is specified. Furthermore, entities must establish a separate department to seek customer feedback within 30 days of a sale.


MAJOR CHANGES

  • Explicit consent required for all sales.
  • Forced bundling of products is banned.
  • Deceptive dark patterns are strictly prohibited.

Taking global exposure without international funds

By Dhuraivel Gunasekaran, bl. research bureau

Dedicated international funds have been among the better-performing diversification options for Indian investors, but many of them are not easy to access today. With industry-level overseas investment limits largely exhausted, several schemes have suspended or restricted fresh inflows. For investors still looking for global exposure, the workaround may lie within domestic equity-oriented schemes themselves.

SUBSCRIPTION CHALLENGES

Gaining exposure to overseas markets through dedicated international funds is not straightforward because the RBI has capped the mutual fund industry’s overseas investments at $7 billion, with an additional $1-billion limit for overseas ETFs. As these limits have largely been exhausted, many international funds have suspended or restricted fresh subscriptions. Consequently, among the 66 dedicated international funds available, only a handful remain open for investments at any given time, making it difficult for investors to access overseas opportunities.

Interestingly, several domestic equity schemes, which are required to maintain at least 65 per cent exposure to Indian equities, have quietly built meaningful allocations to overseas stocks. Currently, 40 such schemes hold overseas exposure of up to 29 per cent of their portfolios. These include flexi-cap, focused, value, and multi-asset funds, as well as sectoral and thematic strategies focused on technology, healthcare, innovation, and commodities.

FLEXI-CAP AND FOCUSED FUNDS

  • Parag Parikh Flexi Cap: As of May 2026, this fund had 12 per cent of its assets (₹17,070 crore) invested in overseas equities. Its overseas portfolio is primarily concentrated in leading US technology companies such as Alphabet, Amazon, Facebook, and Microsoft. Historically, the fund has invested up to 30 per cent overseas, though this varies based on market conditions and regulatory constraints.
  • SBI Focused Fund: This fund held 12 per cent of its assets (₹5,545 crore) in overseas equities, tactically maintaining international exposure to enhance its performance.

VALUE AND TECHNOLOGY FUNDS

  • DSP Value Fund: Held 15 per cent (₹274 crore) of its assets in overseas equities, diversified across regions including the US, Europe, China, Taiwan, and Canada, and sectors like healthcare and energy.
  • Technology Funds: Five technology funds maintain significant overseas exposure: Edelweiss Technology (29 per cent), Franklin India Technology (22 per cent), SBI Technology Opportunities (14 per cent), ABSL (6 per cent), and ICICI Prudential Technology (5 per cent). These funds predominantly invest in US technology leaders, providing access to niche sectors like artificial intelligence and semiconductors.

OTHER CATEGORIES

  • Dividend Yield Funds: ICICI Prudential Dividend Yield Fund’s international allocation has ranged between 11 per cent and 19 per cent, primarily investing in emerging markets like China, South Korea, and Taiwan. Conversely, Aditya Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Fund favors US and global companies.
  • Multi-Asset Allocation (MAA) Funds: Several MAA funds provide international exposure, including Invesco India MAA (14 per cent), DSP MAA (13 per cent), Bandhan MAA (8 per cent), and Nippon India MAA (5 per cent).
  • Children’s Fund: SBI Children’s Fund-Investment is the only scheme in its category with overseas exposure, allocating 15 per cent (₹974 crore) to international equities.

TAKEAWAYS

By maintaining at least 65 per cent in domestic equities, these schemes continue to enjoy equity taxation while offering a gateway to overseas markets. This exposure provides geographical diversification and access to global leaders difficult to reach through Indian equities alone.

Investors should choose funds based on their primary investment mandate rather than overseas exposure alone. Flexi-cap, focused, and value funds can form part of a core equity allocation, while sectoral funds like technology and healthcare are better used as satellite allocations due to higher volatility.


Bulls gain the edge

By Akhil Nallamuthu, bl. research bureau

Nifty 50 (24,013) and Nifty Bank (57,686) gained 1.7 per cent and 1.5 per cent respectively over the past week, extending their recovery for a second consecutive week. The derivatives data suggests that the rebound is gaining traction, although it continues to be driven largely by short covering rather than fresh long additions.

FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) remained net short on index futures, although the position narrowed 7 per cent over the last week to 2.3 lakh contracts. However, they increased net short positions on index call options and raised net long positions in index puts, suggesting they continue to maintain a cautious stance through the options segment.

At the broader level, the positioning appears relatively stable. Combined net short positions on index futures increased marginally, while net short positions on call options and net put shorts declined, suggesting that bearish conviction among traders has eased further.

NIFTY 50

Nifty futures (Jun) (24,057) began last week with a gap-up above the resistance at 23,800. The contract extended the gains and hit a high of 24,210 on Thursday before easing on Friday to close the week at 24,057. The rally was driven largely by short covering for the second consecutive week.

Despite Friday’s correction, the contract continues to trade above the key support levels of 23,900 and 23,800. The 21-day moving average is currently at 23,700, and as long as this level remains intact, the near-term outlook will stay positive.

Strategy:

  • Go long on Nifty futures (Jun) if it declines to 23,900.
  • Place stop-loss at 23,650 and book profits at 24,500.
  • Alternatively, if the contract breaks above 24,210, initiate fresh longs with a stop-loss at 24,000.

NIFTY BANK

Nifty Bank futures (Jun) (57,862) also opened with a gap-up last Monday. Although the contract surrendered part of the gains during the session, it regained momentum in subsequent days and touched a high of 58,049.

The chart continues to reflect a positive bias. Although the contract could witness a corrective decline, the outlook will remain bullish as long as the support at 56,600 stays valid. A rally can lift Nifty Bank futures to 59,000, with resistance above that at 60,000.

Strategy:

  • Buy Nifty Bank futures (Jun) on a dip to 57,200.
  • Place an initial stop-loss at 56,400.
  • Revise the stop-loss higher as the contract rises, and book profits at 59,000.
  • Alternatively, if it breaks above 58,100 without a dip, initiate fresh longs with a stop-loss at 57,750.

RELATIVELY STABLE

  • Nifty futures reclaims 23,800.
  • Nifty Bank futures eyes 59,000.
  • Key breakouts hold firm.

Is gold still a safe haven?

By Aarati Krishnan

As investors, the main reason many of us hold gold in the portfolio is to act as a safe haven. When events such as wars, financial crises, or calamities arrive, gold acts as a shock absorber because its prices generally rise when financial assets tumble.

Lately, however, gold has been failing in this safe-haven role. Just a day before US-Iran hostilities broke out, gold (24-carat) was ruling at ₹1.6 lakh per 10 gram in India. On war news, it spiked for a single day to ₹1.73 lakh; thereafter, the journey has been steadily downhill, with prices falling to ₹1.46 lakh by June 19. This is a 16 per cent drop from the peak. Indian investors have been cushioned by rupee depreciation; global gold prices have tumbled 22 per cent during this period.

WHY GOLD FELL

Gold dons many hats as an asset—commodity, currency, safe-haven, and status symbol—resulting in many factors impacting its prices. The recent price fall seems to be due to four factors:

  • Rising Treasury Yields: Gold competes directly with US Treasuries (US government bonds) as a safe-haven choice. Whenever the yield on US Treasuries soars, gold loses a bit of its lustre. After the Iran war started in February, bond markets began pricing in the possibility of Fed rate hikes instead of cuts, propelling the 10-year yield from below 4 per cent to over 4.5 per cent in May.
  • Central Bank Sales: Central banks are the world’s largest hoarders of bullion. While they added significantly to holdings between 2020 and 2025, they tend to cut back at price highs. World Gold Council data show central banks cut back purchases as prices shot up toward $4,800. Additionally, in Q1 2026, Turkiye, the Russian Federation, and Bulgaria together offloaded about 103 tonnes of gold to raise emergency credit.
  • Ebbing ETF Flows: ETF buyers often chase momentum, flocking to gold when returns look good and abandoning it when losses crop up. As gold prices moderated from March 2026, ETFs saw outflows, magnifying the downward price trend.
  • Profit-taking: In the year from March 2025 to February 2026, gold saw a breathless 90 per cent rally. When gold showed signs of topping out in February 2026, investors sitting on super-normal gains were likely tempted to lock them in, especially as other markets tanked.

TAKEAWAYS

Gold price moves are extremely hard to predict because there are no cash flows to arrive at a "fair value".

  • Long-term Returns: Analysis suggests gold manages a 12-13 per cent return if held for five years, making it a good asset class for equity-like returns.
  • Crisis Protection: While gold has worked as a safe haven in the past, it doesn't work every time. Hopping onto gold after a major crisis breaks out is generally a bad idea.
  • Steady Allocation: To capitalise on gold returns, you need a constant allocation (perhaps 10 or 15 per cent) in your portfolio.
  • Price Direction: Monitor US Treasury yields and rate hike expectations; waning rate hike expectations are bullish for gold.

GOLD GUIDE

  • Gold can deliver equity-like returns.
  • Crisis protection does not always work.
  • Keep allocation steady.

Lifting hopes

INDEX OUTLOOK: The benchmark indices can rise more on a break above their immediate resistance By Gurumurthy K, bl. research bureau

Nifty 50, Sensex and Nifty Bank index opened the week with a wide gap-up last week. Thereafter they broadly stayed stable but higher all through the week. All the three indices were up over 1.5 per cent each last week. The US and Iran agreeing for a peace deal triggered this gap-up open last week.

On the charts, the picture is positive. Sensex and Nifty have resistance ahead; they are likely to breach this hurdle and move further higher. Nifty Bank index, on the other hand, can remain in range for some time, eventually making a bullish breakout of its range to go higher.

FPIS BUY

The Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) snapped their eight-week selling spree, buying $251 million in the equity segment. If they start to accelerate their purchase, it can aid the Nifty and Sensex in gathering bullish momentum.

NIFTY 50 (24,013.10)

  • Short-term view: The follow-through rise last week turns the picture positive. Support is in the 23,800-23,600 region, while resistance is at 24,250. Nifty can breach this hurdle and rise to 24,500 and 24,800 in the coming weeks. The picture turns negative only if it declines below 23,600, which currently looks less likely.
  • Medium-term view: Nifty seems to have resumed its up-move within the broad 22,000-26,500 range. A break above 24,800 will clear the way for a rise toward 26,500. Long-term targets could reach 28,000 and 30,000. This view only fails if the Nifty declines below 22,000.

NIFTY BANK (57,685.75)

  • Short-term view: The break above 57,000 and rise to 58,000 happened as expected, though last week’s candle indicates some indecisiveness. Support is at 56,500 and resistance at 58,800. The index may oscillate in this range for some time. An eventual break above 58,800 can take it to 60,500-61,000.
  • Medium-term view: The outlook remains bullish. A decisive break above 61,000 could boost momentum toward 65,000, with long-term potential for 68,000-69,000.

SENSEX (76,802.90)

  • Short-term view: After touching a high of 77,492, the Sensex has come off slightly. Support is now strong between 76,300 and 76,000. We expect it to sustain above 76,000 and breach the 77,800 resistance to move toward 78,500-79,000.
  • Medium-term view: Sensex remains in the 71,000-86,000 range. A break above intermediate resistance at 80,000 can take it to the upper end at 86,000. Long-term targets include 90,000 and 94,000.

NIFTY MIDCAP 150 (22,972.95)

The 21,700-23,000 range remains intact. The index is nearing the upper end, with another resistance at 23,150. Breaking above 23,150 could trigger a rally to 26,000-26,500 in the medium term and 28,000-28,500 in the long term. Failure to break these levels may keep the index sideways.

NIFTY SMALLCAP 250 (17,713.80)

Last week's rise indicates gaining momentum, with crucial resistance in the 18,000-18,300 region to be tested this week. An eventual break above 18,300 could lead the index to 22,500-23,000 and 24,000 in the long term. If it fails and drops below 17,500, a further fall to 17,200 is possible.


IMMEDIATE RESISTANCE

  • Nifty 50: 24,250
  • Sensex: 77,800
  • Nifty Bank: 58,800

Skinny Fed approach

GLOBAL VIEW: Kevin Warsh turns consoler-in-chief for Wall Street Reuters, Washington

US Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh put his stamp on the job fast this week at a debut policy meeting that produced a return to stripped-down, 1990s-style central banking, before this century’s crises put the Fed center-stage in economic management and turned its leader into a consoler-in-chief for Wall Street and Main Street alike.

The question now is whether the reduced role he seeks for the Fed and in effect for himself is compatible with a world grown more complex, a more-intense and polarised information environment, and markets now accustomed to a steady diet of top policymaker commentary.

RATE HIKE

Whether he intended it, Warsh’s emphasis on inflation in Wednesday’s press conference, without any more-nuanced commentary about what might clear the bar for a rate hike, led investors to conclude an increase was coming soon and begin bidding up bond yields.

The market reaction “was massively amplified by Warsh’s press conference that combined a hawkish near single-mandate emphasis on the need to deliver price stability with a total absence of any modulating discussion of the Fed’s strategy or reaction function,” wrote Krishna Guha, a former top communications official at the New York Fed. “Discussion of the reaction function and strategy, supports more effective central banking,” a main tenet of current central bank practice.

The Fed at Warsh’s first meeting held rates steady in the 3.50-3.75 per cent range where they’ve been since December, announcing it in a spare policy statement reminiscent of those penned in the 1990s. Instead of the simple factual statement that “inflation is elevated” used under former Chair Jerome Powell, the first Warsh statement was conditional, saying inflation was elevated “relative to the Committee’s 2 per cent target”. The wording could mean inflation is not considered excessive in an absolute sense.

Warsh, while reaffirming the 2 per cent target, also has said the decimal point values don’t matter, hinting at some tolerance of inflation merely near the Fed’s goal. On economic growth overall, the statement highlighted aspects Warsh sees as important to the future and currently booming — productivity and capital investment — without running through the full list of components of gross domestic product.

Whether the new style is sustainable will hinge on factors including market reaction over time and how the world evolves, as Fed leaders often find that firm “first principles” wear thin in a crisis.

OLD GHOSTS

Likewise, Warsh announced five task forces geared to Fed reform, with a question mark over whether they “will be agents of regime change or just more commissions to rehash old debates,” wrote JP Morgan Chief Economist Michael Feroli. Communications reform was discussed last year but ended with a stalemate despite high-level analysis by former Chairs.

After more than a decade of sharp criticism of the Fed, Warsh likely had to follow through after promising he would be “knocking some heads”. The pandemic had expanded the Fed’s role with a multi-trillion-dollar effort to support the economy, and Powell’s role involved explaining it in prime-time media appearances designed to reassure households and markets. In suggesting all that might be dialed back, Warsh is signaling a significant shift in operational philosophy.


JURY STILL OUT

  • Whether the new style is sustainable will hinge on factors including market reaction over time.

India to host 2-day meet of top BRICS security officials

Press Trust of India, New Delhi

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, Russian NSA Sergei Shoigu, and top BRICS security officials will converge in New Delhi on Monday for a two-day conclave that will focus on pressing geopolitical and regional security challenges. The conclave of BRICS National Security Advisers will be chaired by NSA Ajit Doval.

China has already announced that Wang will attend the deliberations. The Chinese Foreign Minister is also expected to hold a bilateral meeting with Doval. It is learnt that Iranian Supreme National Security Council’s Deputy Secretary Nezamipour is also expected to join the conclave that is set to prepare the ground for the BRICS summit to be held in September in India. New Delhi is hosting the summit in its capacity as the current chair of the bloc.

Top BRICS security officials are expected to deliberate extensively on the overall regional security scenario, including the situation in West Asia as well as the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

The Indian side is likely to raise its concerns over terrorism, including cross-border terrorist activities targeting Jammu and Kashmir by terror groups based in Pakistan. The Pakistan-Afghanistan hostilities may also figure in the deliberations, according to people familiar with the matter.

“During the meeting, the National Security Advisers/Heads of Delegation of BRICS member countries will exchange views on the theme ‘Non-traditional security challenges confronting the world today’,” the Ministry of External Affairs said. It added that the officials will also discuss the rapidly evolving nature of national security challenges as well as the role of new technologies in emerging security threats.