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Sunday, August 31, 2025

Comparison of Central Govt bailout of Banks

 

Feature India (2017–2021 Recap Bonds) Indonesia (1997–2004 Bank Restructuring Bonds) Ireland (2008 NAMA Bonds)
Context Twin Balance Sheet Problem: Stalled projects → NPAs in PSBs. Asian Financial Crisis: Currency crash + bank insolvencies. Global Financial Crisis: Property bubble burst, banks loaded with toxic real-estate loans.
Issuer Government of India. Government of Indonesia via IBRA (Indonesian Bank Restructuring Agency). Irish government via NAMA (National Asset Management Agency).
Subscribers / Holders Public Sector Banks (PSBs) themselves; non-tradable. Commercial banks; BRBs were tradable & could be sold for liquidity. Irish banks (who swapped bad loans for NAMA bonds); later held by ECB & markets.
Purpose Boost bank equity capital without upfront fiscal cost; improve CAR. Replace NPAs with safe sovereign securities; restore solvency. Remove toxic property loans from bank balance sheets; provide liquidity.
Mode / Type Sovereign bonds, often zero-coupon or low coupon, non-tradable, long maturity. Interest-bearing sovereign bonds, long-term (10–20 years), tradable. Government-guaranteed bonds, interest-bearing, eligible as collateral at ECB.
Amount Issued ~₹2.76 lakh crore (USD ~40 bn) via recap bonds (2017–2021). ~IDR 430 trillion (≈ USD 45–50 bn). ~€30 billion NAMA bonds (≈ USD 40 bn).
Accounting Effect – Banks Assets: Recap bonds. Equity: Govt infusion → higher CAR. Assets: BRBs replace NPAs. Equity: Solvency restored. Assets: NAMA bonds replace property loans; liquidity restored.
Accounting Effect – Govt Liabilities: Public debt ↑. Assets: Higher PSB equity stake. Liabilities: Debt ↑ (up to 50% of GDP). Assets: Claims on banks & recoveries via IBRA. Liabilities: Sovereign-guaranteed bonds. Assets: NAMA held loans (often impaired).
Uniqueness “Circular internal loop” — govt issues bonds, PSBs subscribe, govt infuses equity into same PSBs. Direct swap of NPAs for sovereign bonds (banks got tradable securities). NAMA acted as a “bad bank”, using govt bonds to buy toxic loans at discounted prices.
Outcome Stabilised PSBs; supported by IBC resolutions later. Fiscal impact spread over years. Banking system rescued but govt debt surged sharply. Banks stabilised but Ireland’s fiscal position collapsed → EU/IMF bailout (2010).

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